Two-Thirds of Twin Cities GOP Leaders Believe Minnesota in Play for Romney

In our inaugural “Red Twin Cities” survey, influential Republicans paint an early picture for November's general election.

More than two-thirds of influential Republicans from around the Twin Cities Patch areas believe Mitt Romney can pull off an upset win in Minnesota in 2012.

First, the survey shows, the presumed nominee has to reach out to Ron Paul Republicans.

Ninety-six conservatives from Twin Cities Patch areas—from St. Michael to Woodbury, Fridley to Northfield—were surveyed last week in Patch’s inaugural Twin Cities Red poll, which focused on November’s biggest race.

Forty responses were collected.

When asked if they felt Mitt Romney could pick up a win over President Barack Obama in the fall, two-thirds expressed optimism.

“Every race is winnable,” said one Republican respondent (all survey answers were anonymous). “It’s possible if enough people are tired of our current president,” said another.

When asked about Minnesota’s February caucus winner, former Gov. Rick Santorum, the vast majority of Republicans surveyed believe his supporters will get behind Romney.

When it comes to Ron Paul, however, the Minnesota panel sings a different tune. Only 17, or about 43 percent, said Romney, the presumed Republican nominee, would get the support of Ron Paul Republicans in the November election.

“Ron Paul supporters see no difference between Obamney [Romney and Obama],” said one respondent. “Mitt has to reach out to the Ron Paul voter” first, said another.

When asked what they’d like to see on Red Twin Cities’ next survey, several pointed to the “running mate” issue, or who Mitt Romney will eventually pick as his vice presidential candidate. Others want the state’s two amendment questions—Voter I.D. and the Marriage Amendment—on our list.

The Red Twin Cities Survey

Our surveys are not a scientific, random sample of any larger population, but rather an effort to listen to a group of influential local Republican activists, party leaders, candidates and elected officials in Minnesota. All of these individuals have agreed to participate in Minnesota Patch’s surveys, although not all responded to this story’s questions. Surveys were conducted from June 27 to July 1, 2012.

Patch will be conducting Red Twin Cities and Blue Twin Cities surveys throughout the 2012 election season in hopes of determining the true sentiment of conservatives and progressives on the ground in Minnesota. If you are an activist, party leader or elected official and would like to take part in periodic surveys that last just a few minutes, please contact Associate Regional Editor Mike Schoemer at mike.schoemer@patch.com.

Red Twin Cities Roster: Sara Anderson (candidate for State House), John Anderson (campaign chair, Palmer for House), David Arvidson (SD 46 candidate), Rep. Mike Beard (HD 35), Bryan Bjornson (Republican activist), Joe Blum (District 52A candidate), Mike Boguszewski (Congressional Dist. 4), Reed Bornholdt (Richfield GOP), Christopher Burns (Woodbury), Nick Caron (campaign mgr. Tuschy for House), Roger Champagne (SD 46 candidate), Matt Chase (treasurer Dist. 46), Steve Cherney, Janalee Cooper, David Cote (Honeywell CEO), Jennifer DeJournett (VOICES of Conservative Women founder), Rep. Bob Dettmer (39A), Don Dickerson (Roseville GOP), Bob Erickson (Lakeville School Board), Kelley Fenton (GOP deputy chair MN), Chris Fields, David FitzSimmons (HD 30B), Mark Fotsch (HD 66A), Hal Fotsch (Dist. 39 organizer), Sen. David Gaither, Stan Genadek, David Gerson (Candidate for Congress), Dennis Gilliespe (Richfield), Richard Glasgow (Washington Co. GOP), Sen. David Hahn, Tim Hall, Sen. Dan Hall, Garold Healy (Hopkins mayoral candidate), Mike Held (SD46 GOP), Dale Helm (candidate 41A), Rep. Mary Liz Holberg, Jeanne Holland (STMA Schools), Sue Holman McCarville (Hopkins GOP), Karin Housley (SD 39), Terry Jacobsen (House Dist. 49B), Arylahn Johnson (HD 49B), Mark Johnson (chair of SD 56), Reid Johnson (candidate for HD 45B), Mike Kaess (SD 51 chair), Emilie Kastner, Rep. Andrea Kieffer (HD 56), Rep. Mary Kiffmeyer (SD 30 candidate), Former Sen. Amy Koch (former majority leader), Jon Koznick, Don Lee, Sen. Ted Lillie (Woodbury), Sen. Warren Limmer, Terry McCall, Rep. Joe McDonald (Delano), Mike McGinn, Mike McCllean, Cory Merrifeld (Save the Vikes.org), Gary Mertz (SD49 Communications), Former Sen. Geoff Michel, Dan Morehead (GOP activist), Andrew Mullin (Wayzata city council), Rep. Pam Myhra (Burnsville), Richard Novack (delegate), Kevin O’Donovan (Richfield GOP), Jon Olson (former campaign manager for Chris Fields), Laura Palmer (HD 41), Sarah Patzloff (Edina schools), Jeff Pauley, Rep. Joyce Peppin (Rogers/Maple Grove), Roz Peterson (Lakeville), Camden Pike (Party chair, SD41), Lt. Col. Alex Plechash (head of MN Org. of GOP Vets), Bill Pulkrabek (Washington Co. Commission), Dwight Rabuse (SD 52 candidate), Erik Radtke (staffer, Emmer for Gov.), John Rheinberger (Wash Co. GOP), former Sen. Claire Robling, Mitch Rossow (SD 61 secretary), Chuck Roulet (SD 32 co-chair), Bron Scherer (MN GOP treasurer), Donna Schmidt, Al Schneider (Kline for Congress), Paul Scofield (HD 46), Joe Slamon (SD 53 chair), Chris Soukup, Mark Stefan (HD44B challenger), Rep. Kirk Stensrud (H 48A), Brett Steven (SD 62 secretary), Tom Swain (former mayor of Lilydale), Sen. John Swanson, Lynn Swon, Sen Roy Terwilliger, Sen. Dave Thompson, Blair Tremere (Golden Valley ex-mayor), Paul Tuschy (HD 52B candidate), Shaji Varghese (HD 51A chair), Lynn Wardlow, Tiana Wells (national delegate), Aramis Wells (Ron Paul for Pres.), Mark Westphal (HD 39 chair), Tim Wilkin (former state rep.), former Rep. Kelby Woodard (Northfield), Mark Zasadny (national GOP delegate), Hannah Zasadny (local delegate) and Rep. Kurt Zellers, Speaker of the House. 

C July 09, 2012 at 12:40 AM
I didn't say that Obama was all that successful with implementing his agenda. I just think, in general, he's a principled person. He's pretty centrist and actually quite conservative (in the maintain the status quo sense). I was very disappointed in the first two years of the administration. Democrats had both houses and the presidency, but the party leadership couldn't even manage their own people. The Republicans are much better at this. Romney just wants to say that everything Obama says or does is wrong - even when he actually thinks Obama is right. Romney has no actual ideas. He's a wealthy Tim Pawlenty. He'll just say or do whatever he thinks will score political points - pretty easy to see through that. Obama should easily win re-election.
Libertarian Brent July 09, 2012 at 05:41 AM
Unfortunately Chris, I think you are right. I am definitely not an Obama or a Romney fan, but I am skeptical of how Ron Paul's fans say he'll end up the nomination, that is why I don't give a fllying hockey puck if i am throwing my vote away by writing Ron in or voting for Gary Johnson..
EndTheFed August 22, 2012 at 11:36 AM
wag the dog ....
Bauer August 22, 2012 at 01:36 PM
Where did they find conservatives in Northfield? Is there a secret club somewhere?
Bauer August 22, 2012 at 01:41 PM
This might be a good year for the Mickey Mouse write-in vote.


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